Richard L. Aboulafia

IN THE MEDIA

Richard L. Aboulafia

Richard is Vice President of Analysis at Teal Group. He manages consulting projects in the commercial and military aircraft field and analyzes broader defense and aerospace trends. He has advised numerous aerospace companies, including most prime and many second- and third-tier contractors in the US, Europe and Asia. He also advises numerous financial institutions on aerospace market conditions. Full Bio >

09
October
2014

Questions Ahead for JSTARS Replacement

Featuring: Richard L. Aboulafia

Questions Ahead for JSTARS Replacement

Richard Aboulafia, an analyst with the Teal Group, called the JSTARS replacement a "great idea in need of a champion."

"In terms of technology, it makes so much sense to recapitalize," Aboulafia said. "Anything that gets you from a four-engine obsolete jetliner to a modern twinjet just pays for itself very quickly, gives you a lot more operational flexibility too, and by the way it also presents a smaller target for the enemy."

Media Outlet: The Street Tags JSTARS

07
October
2014

New Open-ended Military Engagement in Middle East Comes to Rescue of U.S. Defense Industry

Featuring: Richard L. Aboulafia

New Open-ended Military Engagement in Middle East Comes to Rescue of U.S. Defense Industry

According to Richard Aboulafia, an aerospace analyst with the research firm Teal Group Corp., "These coalition partners have already bought quite a bit of weapons from American weapons makers." He added in his interview with Hennigan: "After a campaign like this, they're likely to buy more."

Media Outlet: The Street Tags Middle East | US Defense Industry

06
October
2014

Boeing to Build Some 777X Parts in St. Louis

Featuring: Richard L. Aboulafia

Boeing to Build Some 777X Parts in St. Louis

Shifting 777X work to St. Louis will help Boeing reinforce its industrial and political presence in an area hit hard by the downturn in U.S. military spending, said Richard Aboulafia, analyst with the Virginia-based Teal Group.

He said the decision also reflected Boeing's desire to build more commercial parts in-house after it ran into quality and schedule problems with 787 parts made by outside suppliers. "This will reduce risk on commercial jet programs," he said.

Media Outlet: The Baltimore Sun Tags 777X | Boeing

04
October
2014

New Vietnam Ruling Could Open Door To Further Exports

Featuring: Richard L. Aboulafia

New Vietnam Ruling Could Open Door To Further Exports

The State Department officials acknowledged that the definition of maritime security will likely include aircraft. And for a US industrial base that is hoping for foreign sales to boost profits amid domestic budget cuts, Vietnam could represent a goldmine, said Richard Aboulafia of the Teal Group.

"There is a very high degree of inevitably that one day Vietnam will be a major US defense equipment market, and for quite a few years they've been heading in that direction," Aboulafia said. "Once again, the No. 1 promoter of the US cause, in terms of diplomacy, military cooperation and defense sales, is Beijing."

Media Outlet: The Street Tags Foreign Military Sales | Orion | P-3 | Vietnam

03
October
2014

Brazil's Embraer Officially Enters US Defense Market

Featuring: Richard L. Aboulafia

Brazil's Embraer Officially Enters US Defense Market

Foreign military sales of the A-29, like the LAS contract, is one possibility. But that market is relatively small, said Richard Aboulafia of the Teal Group, and unlikely to expand. "I don't know what would make this market go away," he said, noting the market tends to average 18 to 24 planes a year. "On the other hand, I can't think of anything that would drive it upwards."

Media Outlet: The Street Tags A-29 | Embraer | Foreign Military Sales

02
October
2014

Why Boeing Had to Boost 737 Production -- Its MAX Trails Airbus

Featuring: Richard L. Aboulafia

Why Boeing Had to Boost 737 Production -- Its MAX Trails Airbus

"Boeing is at a disadvantage in terms of next generation narrow body timing because Airbus is doing a great job with the A320neo," said Richard Aboulafia, aerospace consultant for Teal Group.

First delivery of the A320neo is scheduled for the fourth quarter of 2015 to Qatar, while first delivery of the 737MAX is scheduled for the third quarter of 2017 to Southwest (LUV) .

"Airbus is going to get there the better part of two years earlier than Boeing," Aboulafia said. "The best thing Boeing can do is to catch up with them as soon as possible. In this high-fuel-cost environment, it's a game of availability; it's all about timing."

Media Outlet: The Street Tags A320neo | Airbus | Boeing

02
October
2014

Military Firms Likely to Benefit from Airstrikes in Iraq, Syria

Featuring: Richard L. Aboulafia

Military Firms Likely to Benefit from Airstrikes in Iraq, Syria

To replace those munitions, experts say, officials are likely to turn to Boeing Co. for a tail kit that converts an unguided free-fall bomb into a "smart" bomb through installation of a GPS-guided tail section.

The company has sold nearly 262,000 such kits, at $25,000 each, including thousands to Saudi Arabia, the United Arab Emirates, Qatar and Bahrain.

"These coalition partners have already bought quite a bit of weapons from American weapons makers," said Richard Aboulafia, an aerospace analyst with Teal Group Corp., a Virginia research firm. "After a campaign like this, they're likely to buy more."

Media Outlet: Los Angeles Times Tags Iraq | Munitions | Syria

01
October
2014

America’s Advanced Stealth Jet Flies on 1990s Tech

Featuring: Richard L. Aboulafia

America’s Advanced Stealth Jet Flies on 1990s Tech

The Air Force is making upgrades to the F-22 by adding better processors and newer fiber-optic data-buses, but the technology remains hopelessly obsolete compared to current-day consumer devices. Part of the reason for that is it is more difficult to predict how emerging technologies will develop. "Figuring out which technologies pay their way on a commercial product is generally easier than figuring out which technologies offer the best bang for the buck on a military one," said analyst Richard Aboulafia at the Virginia-based Teal Group.

Media Outlet: The Daily Beast Tags Air Force | F-22 | Raptor | Stealth

26
September
2014

Cost of Bombing ISIL Cheap Compared With Afghan War

Featuring: Richard L. Aboulafia

Cost of Bombing ISIL Cheap Compared With Afghan War

The major driver of cost is flight time for warplanes and steaming time for ships — not missiles or bombs, said Richard Aboulafia, a military aviation analyst with the Teal Group. A warplane can cost at least $10,000 per hour to fly. "What clobbered us over the past decade wasn't procurement (of weapons)," Aboulafia said. "It was operations and maintenance."

Media Outlet: USA Today Tags Aircraft | Bombing | Operations & Maintenace | Syria

23
September
2014

Will USMC Pursue Engine Upgrade for V-22?

Featuring: Richard L. Aboulafia

Will USMC Pursue Engine Upgrade for V-22?

Analyst Richard Aboulafia of the Teal Group interpreted the Marine Corps' comment as putting pressure on Rolls. "When you're in a sole-source situation and you're not happy with the price of spares and durability of spares, the best way to put pressure on the contractor is to imply that there could be competition in the future," Aboulafia said. "If [Rolls] could somehow combine lower cost with higher performance, that might be something [the Marine Corps] would really want, but on the other hand, it's not clear that's what's going on here."

Media Outlet: Defense News Tags Marine Corps | Rolls-Royce | V-22

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