Teal Group In The Media

Our analysts are sought out by the business community and by the media for their independent insights and forecasts.

02
October
2014

Military Firms Likely to Benefit from Airstrikes in Iraq, Syria

Featuring: Richard L. Aboulafia

Military Firms Likely to Benefit from Airstrikes in Iraq, Syria

To replace those munitions, experts say, officials are likely to turn to Boeing Co. for a tail kit that converts an unguided free-fall bomb into a "smart" bomb through installation of a GPS-guided tail section.

The company has sold nearly 262,000 such kits, at $25,000 each, including thousands to Saudi Arabia, the United Arab Emirates, Qatar and Bahrain.

"These coalition partners have already bought quite a bit of weapons from American weapons makers," said Richard Aboulafia, an aerospace analyst with Teal Group Corp., a Virginia research firm. "After a campaign like this, they're likely to buy more."

Media Outlet: Los Angeles Times Tags Iraq | Munitions | Syria

01
October
2014

America’s Advanced Stealth Jet Flies on 1990s Tech

Featuring: Richard L. Aboulafia

America’s Advanced Stealth Jet Flies on 1990s Tech

The Air Force is making upgrades to the F-22 by adding better processors and newer fiber-optic data-buses, but the technology remains hopelessly obsolete compared to current-day consumer devices. Part of the reason for that is it is more difficult to predict how emerging technologies will develop. "Figuring out which technologies pay their way on a commercial product is generally easier than figuring out which technologies offer the best bang for the buck on a military one," said analyst Richard Aboulafia at the Virginia-based Teal Group.

Media Outlet: The Daily Beast Tags Air Force | F-22 | Raptor | Stealth

30
September
2014

On the Frontlines With US Drone Pilots: A Console But No Video Game

Featuring: Philip Finnegan

On the Frontlines With US Drone Pilots: A Console But No Video Game

"The Global Hawk is becoming the backbone of high-altitude long endurance surveillance in the US military. The fleet is growing very rapidly," said Philip Finnegan, director of corporate analysis at the Teal Group, which specializes in the aerospace market.

Media Outlet: The Guardian

30
September
2014

Proton Rocket Returns To Uneasy Expectations

Featuring: Marco A. Caceres

Proton Rocket Returns To Uneasy Expectations

"When it's working it works just fine but, to me, [the May 2014 failure] just sounds like bad workmanship," said Marco Caceres, senior analyst and director of space studies at the Teal Group. "It could be the bolts were poorly manufactured, it might have been corrosion — maybe they didn't screw them on tight enough; who knows?"

Media Outlet: Reuters Tags Proton | Russia

27
September
2014

Lockheed to Buy European Satellite for South Korea in F-35 Deal

Featuring: Marco A. Caceres

Lockheed to Buy European Satellite for South Korea in F-35 Deal

Marco Caceres, an analyst with the Virginia-based Teal Group, said the new satellite may be built by France's Thales (TCFP.PA), which has already built several satellites for South Korea. The satellite was likely medium-sized and would cost several hundred million dollars to build, plus another $100 million to launch, he said.

Media Outlet: Reuters Tags Satellite | South Korea | Thales Alenia

26
September
2014

Cost of Bombing ISIL Cheap Compared With Afghan War

Featuring: Richard L. Aboulafia

Cost of Bombing ISIL Cheap Compared With Afghan War

The major driver of cost is flight time for warplanes and steaming time for ships — not missiles or bombs, said Richard Aboulafia, a military aviation analyst with the Teal Group. A warplane can cost at least $10,000 per hour to fly. "What clobbered us over the past decade wasn't procurement (of weapons)," Aboulafia said. "It was operations and maintenance."

Media Outlet: USA Today Tags Aircraft | Bombing | Operations & Maintenace | Syria

25
September
2014

Syria-to-Ukraine Wars Send U.S. Defense Stocks to Records

Featuring: Philip Finnegan

Syria-to-Ukraine Wars Send U.S. Defense Stocks to Records

Pentagon contractors have been responding to the pullback in U.S. military budgets by shifting focus to international markets, said Philip Finnegan, director of corporate analysis at Teal Group, a Fairfax, Virginia-based consultant that tracks defense and aerospace companies.

Even with revenue at Lockheed, Raytheon, General Dynamics and Falls Church, Virginia-based Northrop down 4 percent since 2011, non-U.S. sales have climbed 9 percent during that stretch. The four companies also have pared expenses, including reducing their combined workforce since 2011 by 23,000 people, or about 6 percent, according to data compiled by Bloomberg.

The improvements to profitability, combined with investor-friendly moves such as stock buybacks, may influence share prices more than the strife in Iraq and Syria, Finnegan said.

"Clearly the world has become increasingly unstable. The question of whether that has a major impact on the defense budget is uncertain," Finnegan said. "There may be an investor psychology that suggests that there's going to be a large benefit to these companies. But the jury is still out."

Media Outlet: Bloomberg Tags Defense Budget | International Markets | Syria

25
September
2014

FAA Approves Drones in Hollywood

Featuring: Philip Finnegan

FAA Approves Drones in Hollywood

Phil Finnegan, an aviation analyst with the Teal Group, said while the U.S. has led the world in developing the technology behind drones, it's fallen far behind when it comes to letting them fly legally.

"Countries like Canada, Australia, the United Kingdom — a lot of European countries — are going after this market," he says.

It'll take the FAA several years to finalize regulations for all drones, Finnegan says, but he believes this initial move will make the American motion picture industry more competitive on the world stage.

Media Outlet: Bloomberg Tags Drones | FAA | UAVs

23
September
2014

Tomahawk Missile Use Against ISIS, Khorasan In Syria Suggests Highly Accurate US Intelligence

Featuring: Steven J. Zaloga

Tomahawk Missile Use Against ISIS, Khorasan In Syria Suggests Highly Accurate US Intelligence

"You don't use Tomahawks against small moving targets, only fixed buildings, or possibly ships," said Steve Zaloga, a missile expert for Teal Group, a Virginia-based military and aviation analysis firm. "I think more broadly, the Tomahawk has typically been used where you don't want to lose any aircraft, so you'd send it into areas with enemy air defense or that is deep behind enemy lines."

Media Outlet: International Business Times Tags Cruise Missiles | Syria | Tomahawk

23
September
2014

Will USMC Pursue Engine Upgrade for V-22?

Featuring: Richard L. Aboulafia

Will USMC Pursue Engine Upgrade for V-22?

Analyst Richard Aboulafia of the Teal Group interpreted the Marine Corps' comment as putting pressure on Rolls. "When you're in a sole-source situation and you're not happy with the price of spares and durability of spares, the best way to put pressure on the contractor is to imply that there could be competition in the future," Aboulafia said. "If [Rolls] could somehow combine lower cost with higher performance, that might be something [the Marine Corps] would really want, but on the other hand, it's not clear that's what's going on here."

Media Outlet: Defense News Tags Marine Corps | Rolls-Royce | V-22

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